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	<title>Comments for MyChances.net</title>
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	<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog</link>
	<description>Data-driven college admission prediction</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 14:28:10 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Comment on New server, brief downtime by James</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2010/03/07/new-server-brief-downtime/comment-page-1/#comment-504</link>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 14:28:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/2010/03/07/new-server-brief-downtime/#comment-504</guid>
		<description>Thomas, thanks so much for dropping by. I absolutely love the service so far (we&#039;ve been on Linode for 10 days now). Having an IRC channel as one of your modes of support is the best thing ever - it doesn&#039;t get more instantaneous than that. Cheers!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thomas, thanks so much for dropping by. I absolutely love the service so far (we&#8217;ve been on Linode for 10 days now). Having an IRC channel as one of your modes of support is the best thing ever &#8211; it doesn&#8217;t get more instantaneous than that. Cheers!</p>
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		<title>Comment on New server, brief downtime by Thomas Asaro</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2010/03/07/new-server-brief-downtime/comment-page-1/#comment-503</link>
		<dc:creator>Thomas Asaro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 14:22:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/2010/03/07/new-server-brief-downtime/#comment-503</guid>
		<description>Glad you are enjoying the service and welcome aboard!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Glad you are enjoying the service and welcome aboard!</p>
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		<title>Comment on New College Rankings by jdberg</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/07/10/new-college-rankings/comment-page-1/#comment-488</link>
		<dc:creator>jdberg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 01:29:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=96#comment-488</guid>
		<description>I think the most tell-tale &quot;What?&quot; that I have seen is &quot;81 - Arcadia University, Glenside, PA.&quot;  Although making great strides, this school is just a half tier above community college.  But it&#039;s cheap and local to a lot of middle-class neighborhoods in the Philly suburbs.  So far the strongest schools I have been admitted to are Pitt and Penn State - Arcadia offered me half-off i didn&#039;t even apply.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the most tell-tale &#8220;What?&#8221; that I have seen is &#8220;81 &#8211; Arcadia University, Glenside, PA.&#8221;  Although making great strides, this school is just a half tier above community college.  But it&#8217;s cheap and local to a lot of middle-class neighborhoods in the Philly suburbs.  So far the strongest schools I have been admitted to are Pitt and Penn State &#8211; Arcadia offered me half-off i didn&#8217;t even apply.</p>
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		<title>Comment on New college admissions tool: Interactive flash scatterplots by Scatterplots: Now showing predictions, acceptance status &#124; MyChances.net</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/10/04/new-college-admissions-tool-interactive-flash-scatterplots/comment-page-1/#comment-455</link>
		<dc:creator>Scatterplots: Now showing predictions, acceptance status &#124; MyChances.net</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Oct 2009 07:23:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=124#comment-455</guid>
		<description>[...] MyChances.net Data-driven college admission prediction      &#171; New college admissions tool: Interactive flash scatterplots [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] MyChances.net Data-driven college admission prediction      &laquo; New college admissions tool: Interactive flash scatterplots [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on Adding Threaded Comments for Author Pages on P2 Wordpress Theme by Scot</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/05/10/adding-threaded-comments-for-author-pages-on-p2-wordpress-theme/comment-page-1/#comment-453</link>
		<dc:creator>Scot</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2009 18:16:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=86#comment-453</guid>
		<description>Hi

The current version of P2 no longer has an author.php page. I tried this on the page.php page but can&#039;t get it to work. Any ideas?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi</p>
<p>The current version of P2 no longer has an author.php page. I tried this on the page.php page but can&#8217;t get it to work. Any ideas?</p>
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		<title>Comment on New College Rankings by James</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/07/10/new-college-rankings/comment-page-1/#comment-452</link>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 01:17:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=96#comment-452</guid>
		<description>Correct; this is an revealed preference ranking. What &quot;revealed preference&quot; means is that we look at where students got in as the denominator, and where they decided to attend as the  numerator. In theory, because college is such an expensive decision, students could be expected to make a rather thoughtful decision about where to attend after they find out where they get in, which is why this approach could be considered one of many reasonable ways to rank colleges.

The only other group to have done a revealed preference study - a set of professors from Yale, Harvard, and Stanford - also found Notre Dame rising surprisingly high above where they expected to find it in the rankings. One explanation offered for this is that Notre Dame recruits a particularly dedicated applicant pool that is willing to choose them over what are otherwise more notable institutions. Another explanation could well be that Notre Dame is undervalued as an institution.

Also, consider the different competition that Cornell and Notre Dame face: Cornell competes with the rest of the Ivies all day long (and loses about 80% of the time according to our data). 

My theory on this situation is as follows (and some day I&#039;ll look deeply into the data to see if this is actually the case): Presumably, many people want to get into an Ivy; they&#039;re the same people who are aware the Cornell lacks the cachet of Yale or Harvard, so they&#039;re less likely to attend Cornell if they get into a school with a &quot;better name&quot;. Notre Dame applicants are much less likely to be in the &quot;I want to get into any Ivy&quot; group of people. Notre Dame is more likely to be the big name school for them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Correct; this is an revealed preference ranking. What &#8220;revealed preference&#8221; means is that we look at where students got in as the denominator, and where they decided to attend as the  numerator. In theory, because college is such an expensive decision, students could be expected to make a rather thoughtful decision about where to attend after they find out where they get in, which is why this approach could be considered one of many reasonable ways to rank colleges.</p>
<p>The only other group to have done a revealed preference study &#8211; a set of professors from Yale, Harvard, and Stanford &#8211; also found Notre Dame rising surprisingly high above where they expected to find it in the rankings. One explanation offered for this is that Notre Dame recruits a particularly dedicated applicant pool that is willing to choose them over what are otherwise more notable institutions. Another explanation could well be that Notre Dame is undervalued as an institution.</p>
<p>Also, consider the different competition that Cornell and Notre Dame face: Cornell competes with the rest of the Ivies all day long (and loses about 80% of the time according to our data). </p>
<p>My theory on this situation is as follows (and some day I&#8217;ll look deeply into the data to see if this is actually the case): Presumably, many people want to get into an Ivy; they&#8217;re the same people who are aware the Cornell lacks the cachet of Yale or Harvard, so they&#8217;re less likely to attend Cornell if they get into a school with a &#8220;better name&#8221;. Notre Dame applicants are much less likely to be in the &#8220;I want to get into any Ivy&#8221; group of people. Notre Dame is more likely to be the big name school for them.</p>
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		<title>Comment on New College Rankings by justpat</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/07/10/new-college-rankings/comment-page-1/#comment-451</link>
		<dc:creator>justpat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 00:39:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=96#comment-451</guid>
		<description>The ratings are still skewed. It seems the top 10 are in an argueably correct order, and then the system falls apart. I know of no other ranking that puts Notre Dame ahead of Cornell, Brown and a half a dozen others.

Are these raings by student preferences, as opposed to academic standards? That could explan it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The ratings are still skewed. It seems the top 10 are in an argueably correct order, and then the system falls apart. I know of no other ranking that puts Notre Dame ahead of Cornell, Brown and a half a dozen others.</p>
<p>Are these raings by student preferences, as opposed to academic standards? That could explan it.</p>
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		<title>Comment on New College Rankings by James</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/07/10/new-college-rankings/comment-page-1/#comment-441</link>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Sep 2009 16:55:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=96#comment-441</guid>
		<description>Amherst has a lower acceptance rate than Tufts, and its accepted students have higher metrics across the board (SAT, etc). Though those are not used in the preference rank, it suggests that no matter which metric you use, Amherst ranks above Tufts.

The Texas issue is interesting. To a large extent, with more data, I doubt this would be a problem. However, there are theoretical reasons that UT Dallas could rank above UT Austin: UT Dallas has a huge grant program for National Merit Scholars. Additionally, perhaps UT Austin competes on a national stage, whereas the other schools compete on a regional stage. In this case, Austin would lose out frequently to the heavy hitters (HYP, etc). However, UT Dallas might not, since it would not be competing for the same students. This would be reflected in the rankings.

The SUNY schools seem to be misranked; I am not familiar enough with them to say why. I would look to the same 3 culprits: (a) not enough data; (b) competition on different stages (regional v national); and (c) lures (perhaps Brockport uses scholarships). 

You mention that these rankings will be swayed by factors such as proximity to home. On average, these factors will cancel out each other. Some Texans might choose UT Austin over UC Berkeley due to proximity; some Californians might choose UC Berkeley over UT Austin for the same reason; etc. These will lead to some slight reduction in Elo points for the higher ranked school, but otherwise should have a minimal effect. 

Finally, you talk about the possibility of a better school losing to a worse one. Can you explain how one should decide what the &quot;better school&quot; is? In my view, the better school for Student A might be the one with the best overall academics, regardless of cost or location. The best for Student B might be one with a great education department in an underserved community in the Midwest. The best school for you may not be the best for me. Our ranking system incorporates all of that data in aggregate. When appropriately paired to the source data, the tool can also peer into the preferences of particular subsets of students to get more personalized rankings. (That tool is currently unpublished.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Amherst has a lower acceptance rate than Tufts, and its accepted students have higher metrics across the board (SAT, etc). Though those are not used in the preference rank, it suggests that no matter which metric you use, Amherst ranks above Tufts.</p>
<p>The Texas issue is interesting. To a large extent, with more data, I doubt this would be a problem. However, there are theoretical reasons that UT Dallas could rank above UT Austin: UT Dallas has a huge grant program for National Merit Scholars. Additionally, perhaps UT Austin competes on a national stage, whereas the other schools compete on a regional stage. In this case, Austin would lose out frequently to the heavy hitters (HYP, etc). However, UT Dallas might not, since it would not be competing for the same students. This would be reflected in the rankings.</p>
<p>The SUNY schools seem to be misranked; I am not familiar enough with them to say why. I would look to the same 3 culprits: (a) not enough data; (b) competition on different stages (regional v national); and (c) lures (perhaps Brockport uses scholarships). </p>
<p>You mention that these rankings will be swayed by factors such as proximity to home. On average, these factors will cancel out each other. Some Texans might choose UT Austin over UC Berkeley due to proximity; some Californians might choose UC Berkeley over UT Austin for the same reason; etc. These will lead to some slight reduction in Elo points for the higher ranked school, but otherwise should have a minimal effect. </p>
<p>Finally, you talk about the possibility of a better school losing to a worse one. Can you explain how one should decide what the &#8220;better school&#8221; is? In my view, the better school for Student A might be the one with the best overall academics, regardless of cost or location. The best for Student B might be one with a great education department in an underserved community in the Midwest. The best school for you may not be the best for me. Our ranking system incorporates all of that data in aggregate. When appropriately paired to the source data, the tool can also peer into the preferences of particular subsets of students to get more personalized rankings. (That tool is currently unpublished.)</p>
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		<title>Comment on New College Rankings by justpat</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/07/10/new-college-rankings/comment-page-1/#comment-440</link>
		<dc:creator>justpat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Sep 2009 17:32:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=96#comment-440</guid>
		<description>I think your ratings need work. For instance, I see SUNY Brockport way ahead of SUNY Geneseo, Stony Brook and Binghamton. No one would rank the schools this way. Additonally, Binghamton is relatively low on your list compared to Stony Brook. 
I see a couple of UT schools ranked ahead of UT Austin, which is their flagship school and, I believe, the most difficult to get into.
I see Tufts rated well below Amherst. I think the schools are similar and Tufts is more difficult to get into. 
These ratings based on student preferences could be skewed by students claiming they were accepted somewhere that they weren&#039;t even accepted to. Also, students may attend a school closer to home for many reasons, preferring not to travel hundreds of miles further away from home, even if the &quot;losing school&quot; is a better school. Student preferences may also be based on where their friends/relatives are going or went. 
I don&#039;t think this rating system is an improvement at all.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think your ratings need work. For instance, I see SUNY Brockport way ahead of SUNY Geneseo, Stony Brook and Binghamton. No one would rank the schools this way. Additonally, Binghamton is relatively low on your list compared to Stony Brook.<br />
I see a couple of UT schools ranked ahead of UT Austin, which is their flagship school and, I believe, the most difficult to get into.<br />
I see Tufts rated well below Amherst. I think the schools are similar and Tufts is more difficult to get into.<br />
These ratings based on student preferences could be skewed by students claiming they were accepted somewhere that they weren&#8217;t even accepted to. Also, students may attend a school closer to home for many reasons, preferring not to travel hundreds of miles further away from home, even if the &#8220;losing school&#8221; is a better school. Student preferences may also be based on where their friends/relatives are going or went.<br />
I don&#8217;t think this rating system is an improvement at all.</p>
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		<title>Comment on New College Rankings by College Rankings #2: Pitfalls of Various Preference-Based Ranking Methods &#124; MyChances.net</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2009/07/10/new-college-rankings/comment-page-1/#comment-438</link>
		<dc:creator>College Rankings #2: Pitfalls of Various Preference-Based Ranking Methods &#124; MyChances.net</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Aug 2009 04:33:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=96#comment-438</guid>
		<description>[...] MyChances.net Data-driven college admission prediction      &#171; New College Rankings [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] MyChances.net Data-driven college admission prediction      &laquo; New College Rankings [...]</p>
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