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	<title>MyChances.net &#187; accuracy</title>
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	<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog</link>
	<description>Data-driven college admission prediction</description>
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		<title>Probability and accuracy</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2007/11/07/probability-and-accuracy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2007/11/07/probability-and-accuracy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2007 00:37:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MyChances.net]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Status Update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[accuracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mychances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probability]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Welcome, CCers. After getting some feedback requesting more information, I&#8217;ve made a couple changes. First, you will now see the predicted probability of admission in your profile, instead of just a &#8220;yes&#8221; or &#8220;no&#8221;. Second, the accuracy of the model that is giving you the prediction will be shown just below, so that you can [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=a6b86431a750edb0d8748e2bf5a8290d&amp;default=' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>Welcome, CCers. After getting some feedback requesting more information, I&#8217;ve made a couple changes. First, you will now see the predicted probability of admission in your profile, instead of just a &#8220;yes&#8221; or &#8220;no&#8221;. Second, the accuracy of the model that is giving you the prediction will be shown just below, so that you can get a better sense of how much you want to trust the prediction.</p>
<p>Cheers,</p>
<p>James</p>
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