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	<title>MyChances.net &#187; admission</title>
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	<description>Data-driven college admission prediction</description>
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		<title>Site accuracy, updated models, admissions game</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2007/11/09/site-accuracy-updated-models-admissions-game/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2007/11/09/site-accuracy-updated-models-admissions-game/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Nov 2007 00:38:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MyChances.net]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Status Update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[admission]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[admissions game]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[college admission]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mychances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=19</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today I updated the prediction models for the first time in a few months, so you might see a shuffle in your predictions as the model updates. We&#8217;re still working with a relatively small sample size in the low thousands. As the site grows, the predictions will become less labile.
As things currently stand, the site [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=a6b86431a750edb0d8748e2bf5a8290d&amp;default=' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>Today I updated the prediction models for the first time in a few months, so you might see a shuffle in your predictions as the model updates. We&#8217;re still working with a relatively small sample size in the low thousands. As the site grows, the predictions will become less labile.</p>
<p>As things currently stand, the site is, on the whole <a href="http://www.mychances.net/about.php" target="_blank">90% accurate</a> (see the bottom piece of data on that page).</p>
<p>Also, the <a href="http://college.mychances.net/games/admissions-expert.php" target="_blank">Admission Game</a> has been updated to properly take into account the predictions made by each school&#8217;s model.</p>
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