<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>MyChances.net &#187; probability</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.mychances.net/blog/tag/probability/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog</link>
	<description>Data-driven college admission prediction</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 07 Mar 2010 17:39:19 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2</generator>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
			<item>
		<title>Personal characteristics</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2008/01/09/personal-characteristics/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2008/01/09/personal-characteristics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jan 2008 00:39:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MyChances.net]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Status Update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[algorithm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[college admission]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mychances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probability]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=20</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve implemented some survey questions to try to begin making the predictions more accurate at some of the tougher schools. If you&#8217;re creating a new account, you&#8217;ll automatically be asked 7 easy questions (no writing involved). If you&#8217;ve already got an account, why not update your account so the algorithm can improve our predictions for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=a6b86431a750edb0d8748e2bf5a8290d&amp;default=' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>I&#8217;ve implemented some survey questions to try to begin making the predictions more accurate at some of the tougher schools. If you&#8217;re creating a new account, you&#8217;ll automatically be asked 7 easy questions (no writing involved). If you&#8217;ve already got an account, why not <a href="http://college.mychances.net/profile/edit_detail_selector.php?choice=college" target="_blank">update your account</a> so the algorithm can improve our predictions for you?</p>
<p>(Note &#8211; the prediction algorithm is not using this info yet because the site just started collecting it, but this will change in the weeks to come.)</p>
<a class="a2a_dd addtoany_share_save" href="http://www.addtoany.com/share_save?linkurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mychances.net%2Fblog%2F2008%2F01%2F09%2Fpersonal-characteristics%2F&amp;linkname=Personal%20characteristics"><img src="http://www.mychances.net/blog/wp-content/plugins/add-to-any/share_save_171_16.png" width="171" height="16" alt="Share/Bookmark"/></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2008/01/09/personal-characteristics/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Probability and accuracy</title>
		<link>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2007/11/07/probability-and-accuracy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2007/11/07/probability-and-accuracy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2007 00:37:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MyChances.net]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Status Update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[accuracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mychances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probability]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mychances.net/blog/?p=18</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Welcome, CCers. After getting some feedback requesting more information, I&#8217;ve made a couple changes. First, you will now see the predicted probability of admission in your profile, instead of just a &#8220;yes&#8221; or &#8220;no&#8221;. Second, the accuracy of the model that is giving you the prediction will be shown just below, so that you can [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=a6b86431a750edb0d8748e2bf5a8290d&amp;default=' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>Welcome, CCers. After getting some feedback requesting more information, I&#8217;ve made a couple changes. First, you will now see the predicted probability of admission in your profile, instead of just a &#8220;yes&#8221; or &#8220;no&#8221;. Second, the accuracy of the model that is giving you the prediction will be shown just below, so that you can get a better sense of how much you want to trust the prediction.</p>
<p>Cheers,</p>
<p>James</p>
<a class="a2a_dd addtoany_share_save" href="http://www.addtoany.com/share_save?linkurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mychances.net%2Fblog%2F2007%2F11%2F07%2Fprobability-and-accuracy%2F&amp;linkname=Probability%20and%20accuracy"><img src="http://www.mychances.net/blog/wp-content/plugins/add-to-any/share_save_171_16.png" width="171" height="16" alt="Share/Bookmark"/></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.mychances.net/blog/2007/11/07/probability-and-accuracy/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
